Saturday, 31 December 2016

31st December

So, I'm back. And here's my preview of this weekend's football, excluding last night's 2-2 draw between Everton and Hull.

Burnley v Sunderland (3pm)

Did someone say home banker? Burnley's home form against teams in and around them in particular is exceptional, whilst Sunderland have only won one game away this season, against Bournemouth. In Sunderland's defence they have had to play Man City, Man United, Liverpool, Spurs and Southampton all away, but were battered 3-0 by Swansea a couple of weeks ago. Burnley meanwhile beat Boro 1-0 last time out at Turf Moor, and only Man City have won at Burnley in the last two months. It won't help Sunderland's case one bit that they're missing key player Jordan Pickford, whose injury will keep him out for a couple of months, and it remains to be seen how destructive that injury will prove. 

Prediction: 1-0 Burnley


Chelsea v Stoke (3pm) 

Stoke didn't offer too much threat at Anfield on Tuesday night despite starting that game well, and you have to feel that there's little chance of them being the ones to stop the seemingly unstoppable Chelsea juggernaut. Only one team has picked up points at Stamford Bridge this season, and that's second place Liverpool, so you'd imagine that Chelsea will do what Chelsea have gotten very good at doing, and will win. 

Prediction: 2-0 Chelsea


Leicester v West Ham (3pm)

This is a tough one to predict. Leicester have only lost twice at home this season, but one of those defeats was on Boxing Day to Everton, and they've only won one game at home in the last two months, against Man City. West Ham meanwhile, have been slinking up the table with wins over Burnley, Hull and Swansea. Right now I'm leaning towards the Hammers, who have the form behind them, but I think it'll be a close game. 

Prediction: 2-1 West Ham 

Man United v Boro (3pm)

United are a side building up a head of steam. Granted they haven't been overly tested, but four wins in a row is impressive, and they could easily make it six before Liverpool travel to Old Trafford. In fact they should make it six, given that Boro are simply not on United's level. I think it'll be a close game, since Boro have only lost by more than one goal once away this season, and have drawn over half of their nine away games, but United will be comfortably favourites.

Prediction: 2-0 United

Southampton v West Brom (3pm)

This game will be a tightly fought contest. Saints don't lose many games at home, and were unfortunate to get taken apart by Spurs on Wednesday night. West Brom meanwhile are plugging away nicely, and the last five games that they've lost have been against the top six. Right now, you'd have to say that neither team looks like losing this game, or winning it, so I'm plumping for a draw. 

Prediction: 1-1


Swansea v Bournemouth (3pm)

Managerless Swansea have won just two home games this season, and a mid-table Bournemouth side have won just one game away from home. This is a tough one to predict, but I think it's hard to look beyond Bournemouth to cause Swansea all kinds of problems. Swansea are dire at the back and although they have beaten Sunderland and Palace here, they won't be expecting anything from this one. 

Prediction: 2-1 Bournemouth


Liverpool v Man City (5:30pm)

The big one. Liverpool are missing Joel Matip and Phillipe Coutinho, with City welcoming back Sergio Aguero. Liverpool are one of the league's two unbeaten teams at home, whilst City have the second best away form in the division. Honestly, I think this could easily be a repeat of both Liverpool v City league games last season, where Liverpool just ran City off the park and destroyed them. We saw Spurs do it to them earlier in the season, and City have been far from their best in recent weeks. But really, this is a tough one to call and should be a goalfest. 

Prediction: 3-1 Liverpool


Watford v Spurs (1:30pm Sunday)

Watford are proving difficult to predict at the moment, with their form as patchy as it has been all season. We're starting to see the table slide into place as to how it's going to look at the end of the season, with Watford truly entrenched in the mid-table now. Overall, it's hard to argue that they'll pose too much of a threat to a Spurs side that been back to somewhere near their best in recent weeks and are shaking the draws out of their system. 

Prediction: 2-1 Spurs


Arsenal v Palace (4pm)

It should be very interesting to see how Big Sam's Palace line up at the Emirates, but given that Sam has neither made any signings, nor had a lot of time to change the squad mentality since Boxing Day, it seems to me that this is the sort of game that Arsenal should win comfortably, even if they're still looking to get back to form after scraping a 1-0 win over West Brom following back to back away defeats. The Gunners still haven't lost at home since the opening day of the season. 

Prediction: 3-1 Arsenal 


The Hard and Fast Section

  • Sir Andy Murray and Sir Mo Farah. Legends.
  • Ronda Rousey pummeled on return to UFC. 
  • Murray ends 2016 with a win. Form.
  • Bob Bradley gone. Finally.

Saturday, 24 December 2016

24th December

Merry Christmas everyone! For my last post for the festive season, I thought I'd look at how Liverpool's players have performed so far this season. I'll be back on the 27th to analyse the Boxing Day football.

Liverpool Player Ratings 16-17 (so far)


Simon Mignolet - 5/10: After an awful start to the season, which saw Mignolet make blunders in each of Liverpool's first three games of the season and cost his team points, the keeper settled down. Eventually Mignolet was rightfully dropped to give Karius a run of games. Since Mignolet's return he's kept two clean sheets in two games, but didn't really have to do anything to secure them. He's done nothing noteworthy this season.

Lloris Karius - 5/10: It would be unfair to suggest that Karius has performed significantly better than Mignolet, but neither has he performed once. Two big errors against West Ham and Bournemouth are sadly the highlight of his Liverpool career as he often found himself with nothing to do in a Liverpool shirt except pick the ball out of the net when hammered past him from six yards. It's a lonely life, being a goalkeeper.

Nathaniel Clyne - 8/10: Solid as a rock. Dependable. Consistent. All words that are good to associate with a defender. And more than that, Clyne has been dangerous in the final third. Hard to think that probably the best right back in the league has put a single foot wrong this season, and consistently creates chances for the team.

Joel Matip - 8/10: Liverpool's best central defender by a mile. Makes Dejan Lovren look competent and James Milner look a born left back. The clue that holds our defence together. Has the potential to be one of the best central defenders in the league. Been sorely missed with ankle injuries at times.

Lucas Leiva - 5.5/10: Filled in at center back at times when Lovren's been injured and frankly hasn't been very good. Sloppy goals conceded as a result. One of the three games he started at CB was the Bournemouth game and that says it all really.

Dejan Lovren - 6.5/10: I feel like we've been here before with Lovren. Slightly better than a 6, decidedly not quite a 7. Some key errors, especially in the Bournemouth game, but at the same time, he's turned in some huge performances lately and scored a couple of big goals. Mixed bag from him.

Ragnar Klavan - 7/10: Came out of the Burnley game pretty badly, but since then has started three league games and been very impressive. Superb against both Boro and Everton lately.

Alberto Moreno - 5/10: Started two games, made bad errors in both those games. Horrendous against Arsenal, mixed bag against Palace. Decent coming forwards but call me old-fashioned. I prefer defenders that can actually defend.

James Milner - 7/10: Tempted to give Milner an 8 even though his performances have been only a 7 or so because he's not a left back. Milner has been terrific in an unfamilar position, He's been slightly patchier in terms of both attack and defence than Clyne on the opposite flank but he's nevertheless made few errors at the back and been useful in the opposition half. Penalties have been clinical and crucial.

Jordan Henderson - 9/10: My man. My hero. I was stunned when Klopp decided to convert Hendo into a CDM at the start of the season. But after two patchy games, Hendo took to the role like a duck to water, and turned in stunning performances against Spurs, Chelsea and Swansea and has since never looked back. He's been consistently very very good and even when Liverpool have played badly, he's been a boss in the middle of the park.

Emre Can - 8/10: Injuries have limited Can's involvement so far, but when he's been playing he's looked largely impressive. Already improved his goal tally with three goals from seven starts and has turned in stunning performances at times. Showed how important he is to this team when he plays. Palace, Watford and Bournemouth games have showed what he brings to the table.

Georginio Wijnaldum - 6/10: Yet to set the Premier League alight. Wijnaldum has rarely turned in an outright bad performance but I'm yet to see him turn in an outright good one either. He's never taken the game by the scruff of the neck, produced a top performance for his team, and his end product has been lacking. Can has shown what he should be doing in the same position.

Adam Lallana - 8.5/10: Lallana has been a class act. A pivotal figure in some of Liverpool's most impressive wins, and adding the crucial goals and assists to his game that have been missing. Liverpool have sorely missed him when he hasn't played, and one of our best players this season, although dare I suggest we look less defensively solid with him in the side?

Phillipe Coutinho: 9.5/10: Come back Phil, all is forgiven. I'll never forget the Autumn of 2016, where Coutinho turned in not one, not two, not even three, but five man of the match performances in a row in the league. This not even including his role in the 6-1 destruction of Watford, or how he single-handedly tore Arsenal a new one, Five goals and five assists in effectively eleven games is what I'm talking about. Our best player. Comfortably so.

Roberto Firmino 7/10: Mixed bag of a season so far from Bobby. He's been awful since the international break and Phil's injury, but before then he was more than playing his part for the team with top performances in some of our most impressive results. Five goals, including some crucial ones against Swansea and Palace, represents a good haul too.

Sadio Mane - 9/10: Mane has been a very, very important cog in Klopp's machine so far this season. It all started with a stunning solo goal against Arsenal and since then he hasn't looked back, with eight goals and four assists so far this season representing the best haul of anyone in an LFC shirt. That winner in the Merseyside Derby makes him a Liverpool legend already as far as I'm concerned.

Divock Origi - 8/10: Origi has been another player who has had to settle for a bit part role in this Liverpool team, largely making substitute appearances. But when given his chance through injuries to Coutinho and Sturridge, he took it impressively, with four goals in four league games, and a phenomenal performance against Middlesbrough. Deserves to keep his place in the team.

Daniel Sturridge - 6/10: Had to settle for cameos so far this season. Unlucky not to score off the bench against Watford and Everton, and secured assists in the process. Made just a handful of league starts, usually against tough opposition and hasn't played badly. Just needs a break and could be very important over the Christmas period.

Jurgen Klopp - 9/10: Hard to argue with almost anything the coach has done. Turn James Milner into a left back? Check. Turn Henderson into a CDM? Check. Play a 4-3-3 with effectively five attacking midfielders? Holy moses check. Bring in Sadio Mane and Joel Matip, two of our best and most important players? Check. Turn Adam Lallana into one of the best midfielders in the Prem? Check. Turn Lucas into a ball-playing CB? Ummm... Okay so not everything Klopp has done has worked perfectly, but we're second in the league and playing gorgeous football so who cares? With moments of inspiration like that gesture against Sunderland, we are in good hands.

Friday, 23 December 2016

23rd December

The relegation battle. Okay, let's dig in to this.


Who's Staying Up?

20th: Hull City, 12 points

Of all the bad teams in the 2016 season, it's only fitting that Hull are at the bottom of the pile. The sad thing is with Hull that they never really stood a chance. They even started well too, with two wins in their first two games. But just one win in the following fifteen, and just five points from a possible thirty-nine (ouch), have left them rooted to the bottom. 

Strengths: Robert Snodgrass is a good player. They have a real team spirit and everyone clearly works hard for the cause. Mike Phelan is a great guy. Their home form is pretty solid, and they're unbeaten in three at the KCOM. 

Weaknesses: Everywhere. Lowest goals tally in the league and no genuinely good strikers, the second worst defensive record in the league, the lowest goal difference, the joint least points. This is a team whose biggest weaknesses on Whoscored include taking chances, defending set pieces, and preventing opposition creating chances. They've been brutalized by injuries and their squad is threadbare. 

Chances of staying up: 2/10, I really like Hull and I'd hate to see them go down, but right now they're in serious, serious trouble and are 1/6 to be relegated for a reason. They simply aren't good enough.

19th: Swansea City, 12 points

Yikes. Sacking Guidolin after 7 games looked like a bad decision and here we are, ten games and just two Premier League wins later and Swansea look in all sorts of trouble. They've only failed to score in three games since Bob Bradley took over, and yet they've picked up points in just four of those games. Whether Swansea have improved at all since Bradley took over is debatable, but what isn't debatable is how much trouble they are in. 

Strengths: Some really good players. Gylfi Sigurdsson is a goalscorer, Llorente is a decent player, Leroy Fer looks very good. They've scored enough goals, 20 at this stage of the season isn't terrible, and is more than six other teams. 

Weaknesses: Defensively. Oh boy defensively. 37 goals conceded in 17 games speaks for itself. Swansea are a train wreck at the back, having sold Ashley Williams and not bothered to replace him. Just two clean sheets since the opening day, against Watford and Sunderland at home, and they've shipped three or more goals on eight occasions, including four of their last five. They've conceded a staggering fifteen goals in the last month, since their 1-1 draw at Goodison Park. Two central defenders minimum in January or they're KO. I might suggest Brentford's John Egan, who has been one of the Championship's best defenders.

Chances of staying up: 4/10, unlike Hull you could see them shoring it up at the back enough to scramble some crucial results if they sign well in January. But Bob Bradley is going to have perform some miracles, and beg Ronald Koeman to sell them back Ashley Williams.

18th: Sunderland, 14 points

How many times have we been here before? The Sunderland escape act looks magical when it's Big Sam at the helm, but with David Moyes? Eh we'll see. Looked absolutely sunk for so long, but since the start of November they've won four of their last seven games, only losing to Liverpool, Chelsea and um... Swansea. Very sticky run coming up but Bournemouth, Hull and Swansea are three of their last four. 

Strengths: Jermain Defoe is a man who can single-handedly keep any team in the Premier League, a genuine goal-scorer which Hull, Swansea, Boro and Burnley do not possess to the same degree. Moreover, their defensive record is pretty average for where they are, and better than most of the teams around them.

Weaknesses: Goals by anyone who isn't Jermain Defoe. Only three players have scored for them this season and Defoe has over half their goals, as well as two assists. Defensively they've only kept two clean sheets. There's a reason they went ten games without a league win and could go ten more at any point. 

Chances of staying up: 6/10, Sunderland are experts in somehow staying up despite all odds, and it would be foolish to bet against it again. But on paper they're one of the three worst sides and deserve to be in the bottom three. 

17th Crystal Palace, 15 points

The Pards effect strikes again. One point off the drop zone, the worst home record in the division, the lowest points total of any team in any division in 2016, four points from their last ten and a run of six games in a row losing? Damn. Palace were sitting pretty after seven games, having picked up ten points from four games in September, only to lose their next six. When they blow cold they blow very cold and it's going to be a chilly Christmas for Palace. Having sacked Pardew it looks like they're turning to Big Sam to get them out of trouble.

Strengths: Best goalscoring record outside the top five, with Christian Benteke, Wilf Zaha and Andros Townsend guaranteeing that Palace are never short on firepower. Scoring way too many goals to go down, surely? Also they have been unlucky in the sense that every time they've tried to build momentum, as a team all about momentum, they've hit an unwinnable game. Big Sam would be a brilliant appointment.

Weaknesses: Defensively they're a shambles. Cannot defend set pieces, don't have a Premier League standard goalkeeper, the back four has zero protection. They shouldn't be conceding as many goals as they are, both on paper and in terms of acceptability. Only Hull and Swansea have worse defences.


Chances of staying up: 7/10, only one point from the drop zone and with a relegation level defence, Palace need to either improve their record at the back or keep scoring goals. It doesn't matter if you put four past Swansea if you concede five. But they're in better shape than Hull and Swansea, and Big Sam should be able to work his magic. 

16th: Burnley, 17 points

The quintessential home and away team. The worst away record in the league with one point from eight games, but have won over half their games at Turf Moor and unfortunate to lose two games to the top four at home. On paper they're in serious trouble but everything is skewed through the home and away filter. Will their home form be enough, or will they need to pick some points up on the road?

Strengths: Home form. Obviously. Conceded just ten goals of the twenty-eight they've shipped at home and scored 88% of their goals at Turf Moor. They look a very tough nut to crack when they're playing well. 

Weaknesses: Eighteen goals shipped in eight games away from home, scoring just twice in the process. Simply put, they're not going to survive with one point away from home. Other teams around them will improve and they have to to.

Chances of staying up: 5/10, they probably won't score as many goals as Sunderland or Palace, which means that they're reliant on their defence and their home form. If it's a question of whether their home form will dip before their away form improves, my money is on the former and then they'll be in real trouble. Palace and Sunderland are experienced in relegation battles, Burnley are experienced in getting relegated. 

15th Leicester City, 17 points

Blimey, what happened here? The Champions of England have suffered some humiliating defeats away from the King Power Stadium, where they've only lost once this season. Just one win in their last eight games has seen them slide horribly towards the drop, and their focus on their Champions League campaign has underlined their lack of depth. 

Strengths: Plenty of goalscorers and quality players in this team. Mahrez, Vardy, Slimani, Okazaki, Leicester should have more than enough firepower to stay afloat. Very very good at home and more to come from them away from the King Power. 

Weaknesses: Real lack of depth in midfield, where they look horribly short. Defensively shambolic away from home at times and set piece defending has been laughably bad. Conceded as many as Hull and Swansea away from home, where they've picked up just two points. 

Chances of staying up: 7/10, realistically Leicester have got the strength to keep themselves in the Premier League and when they get knocked out of the Champions League they can focus on staying up, so their lack of depth and focus becomes less of an issue. 

14th Middlesbrough, 18 points

Boro have been reasonably consistent this season, picking up points at reasonably regular intervals and have never lost more than three in a row. More importantly, they've rarely lost to teams in and around them, with Palace the only side below them in the table to beat them so far this season. They've beaten all of the bottom three, which is always a good sign. 

Strengths: Comfortably the best defence in the bottom half of the table and conceded almost half as many as Hull and Swansea. They're a tough team to beat and have only conceded three goals on two occasions, and only lost by three goals once. At home they're a very tough nut to crack, and Chelsea, Arsenal and Man City managed just two goals between them against Boro. 

Weaknesses: Scoring goals has been a problem, with Alvaro Negredo proving hit and miss, and only Gaston Ramirez providing suitable goalscoring support from midfield. Jordan Rhodes has been underutilised, Adama Traore has no end product and Boro very rarely look like winning comfortably. 

Chances of staying up, 7/10, teams with a good defence very rarely go down, and Boro are not going to be slapped about by anybody this season, with only a full throttle Liverpool side beating them easily. Moreover, they've consistently beaten teams in and around them, which is how you stay in the Premier League. 

I could be cruel and analyse West Ham's survival chances for fun, as they're only five points clear of Sunderland, but realistically West Ham aren't going down and it would be slightly mean-spirited, although I might rethink that assessment if they lose to Leicester and Swansea in their next two away games.

So without further ado, here is my predicted bottom seven. 

14. Leicester City
15. Crystal Palace
16. Middlesbrough
17. Sunderland
18. Burnley
19. Swansea
20. Hull

Although I think it's very tight between Sunderland, Palace and Burnley right now, who I think will be the three teams grappling for two spots. But with Big Sam at the helm I think Palace should be okay, I think Boro and Leicester should be fine, and Swansea and Hull will do well to stay in the fight until April. 


The Hard and Fast Section

  • Pards out. Big Sam in. All change. 
  • West Brom aiming to hijack Everton's Schneiderlin transfer. Bidding war.
  • Oscar to China for £60m confirmed. Bonkers.
  • Welbeck back in training. Good news. 

Thursday, 22 December 2016

22nd December

So, with 17 games gone, how is the title race shaping up?

Title Race Assessment (bonus Champions League chances)


1. Chelsea, 43 points

Chelsea sit atop the pile after 17 games, with a seriously impressive record, having won 14 of those games and lost just two. It's been a terrific season for Chelsea so far, and they've now won eleven games in a row since Liverpool and Arsenal both beat them back to back. Their season really exploded into life with their 4-0 demolition job over Man United and since then both Spurs and City have fallen to the Chelsea juggernaut. 

Strengths: Defensively, Chelsea have been rock solid and conceded two goals in eleven games. That is frightening. Conte's system is working to perfection, and it gets the most out of all of their players. Diego Costa and Eden Hazard are two exceptional players near the top of their game right now. They're getting very good at grinding out results with three 1-0 wins in a row.

Weaknesses: Their main weakness is their reliance on Costa and Hazard, and it'll be interesting to see what happens if either of them picks up a serious injury. The main flaw in their starting eleven is their wingbacks, who are crucial to the system but can be exploited with pace in-behind. They're getting results at the moment but they're not outplaying teams either. 

Title chances: 9/10, Chelsea are the clear and rightful favourites, six points clear and looking imperious right now. Going to take something special to stop them.
Top four chances: 10/10, Chelsea are ten points clear of 5th place Spurs. All but guaranteed.

2. Liverpool, 37 points

Second place at Christmas with their highest points total since the 08/09 title challenge, when this time last season they were 9th. It's been a terrific year for Liverpool and Jurgen Klopp. Their last minute winner in the Merseyside Derby keeps them hot on Chelsea's heels and after a succession of really impressive results in the big games, Liverpool have stumbled slightly since the international break against lesser opposition. 

Strengths: Firepower. The league's top scorers with 41 goals evenly distributed with Mane, Lallana, Coutinho, Firmino and Milner all chipping in with at least five goals each. This is the Liverpool team that went to the Emirates and scored four, that put six past Watford, that threatened to run riot at the Bridge. This team turns up for the big games and hasn't lost to a team in the top six, with two wins and two draws representing the best record against the top six of any side. Coped well with injuries.

Weaknesses: Failed to score in three games, which is more than Chelsea, City or Arsenal. Main problem comes defensively, where overall Liverpool have been okay, but without Joel Matip have been prone to complete implosion, which after weeks of debate, finally cost them points, 5 of them, against Bournemouth and West Ham. 

Title chances: 7/10, still very much in the race if anyone is and Chelsea's closest contenders but it looks a tough ask to chase them down and you wonder if this side can go the distance. 
Top four chances: 8/10, four clear of Spurs and if they play like they have so far then top four is very very make-able. 

3. Man City, 36 points

Pep Guardiola's Man City were not supposed to be seven points away from the league leaders on Christmas Day. But back to back defeats to Chelsea and Leicester have derailed their title charge, which looked over as Arsenal went 1-0 up at the Etihad. But City are still in the hunt and made the best start to the season of any team. If they can finish strongly this isn't over.

Strengths: Attacking and attacking midfield talent and bags of it. The best striker in the division in Aguero, two of the best attacking midfielders in Silva and De Bruyne, plenty of terrific wingers in Sterling, Nolito and Sane. On paper, City have one of the best squads if not the best squad in the league and their manager is putting his teams together in inventive and brilliant tactical ways. 

Weaknesses: Defensively. It's one thing to say Liverpool's defence will cost them, but City have already dropped significantly more points than Liverpool through defensive errors as Leicester, Spurs and Chelsea ran through them like a knife through butter. Three clean sheets in 7 games is the worst record in the top six. 

Title chances: 7/10, you'd still say City are the favourites to make a run at Chelsea and if anything happens to the Blues you'd expect Pep's men to take advantage, but it's a tough ask right now. 
Top four chances: 7/10, only three points clear of Spurs with a tough run coming up, they could be out of the top four by the New Year. You'd still expect them to come through but even so. 

4. Arsenal, 34 points

There's something very cathartic about seeing Arsenal in their spiritual home. Two complete bottle jobs in a week have seen the Gunners slip from 2nd to 4th as all of their rivals picked up six points on them. Sunday's defeat at the Eithad feels huge, and they're struggling to muster a title race now, just when things were looking promising. 

Strengths: A reasonably strong defence and one of the most creative and dangerous front lines, as well as an all-round impressive midfield. Arsenal have managed to shore up the major holes in their squad and on paper look the most balanced and complete team. Scoring plenty of goals. Alexis Sanchez. 

Weaknesses: Still lacking in a bit of defensive depth. Without Mustafi they've looked incredibly vulnerable at the back. Their defensive midfield area still looks shaky, with Coquelin and Elneny not the answer and Xhaka yet to convince. Main weakness is their mental strength, which as usual, looks completely shot. 

Title chances: 5/10, nine points off, plus the Arsenal factor, means that it's looking like a real long shot now. Major January work needed. 
Top four chances: 7/10, Arsenal don't not finish in the top four, even if a 4th place finish wouldn't be their preference. Still, it would be unfair to count out Spurs yet, and the Gunners still have a lot of work to do. 

5. Tottenham, 33 points

Spurs have struggled to get their attack going this season, but are starting to make inroads with Harry Kane back and Christian Eriksen firing. Have looked like real top four contenders for most of the season, but haven't ever quite exploded, with too many scattered draws and now their first two defeats of the season, with a wretched showing against United following defeat at the Bridge. 

Strengths; Brilliant defence, and their first choice back is the league's best, shielded by top players. Even if they're drawing too many games, they're not losing games to teams that they should be beating. Strong basis to rely on and now that they have attacking players back, they've got a very strong attacking line too. 

Weaknesses: Lack of depth. Missing Kane for a couple of months effectively neutered them, and without Alderweireld at the back they looked a shadow of themselves. Even at their best this season they've struggled against the big teams, with their terrific win over Man City their only top performance against the top six. 

Title chances: 3/10, it would be absolutely incredible if Spurs were able to come back from 10 points down to beat Chelsea, given that there are four superior teams ahead of them right now. 
Top four chances: 6/10, with only one point separating the two North London clubs, it would be unfair to suggest that Spurs don't have a solid chance of making the top four, even if inevitably we all know that St Totteringham's Day will come. 

6. Man United, 30 points

In Jose Mourinho's defence, 30 points would have got United into the top four at this stage last season. But the painful truth is United have not improved significantly and at the moment are struggling. Eight games unbeaten since their humiliation at the Bridge represents improvement, as does three wins in a row, but there's always a sense that something will go wrong. 

Strengths: Extremely talented first choice midfield, with Pogba, Herrera, Carrick, Mkhitaryan and Mata all playing well this season. Zlatan has performed well overall. They look reasonably solid defensively too, and have a pretty good defensive record. 

Weaknesses: Goals. They are heavily reliant on Ibrahimovic to score, as their second top scorer has scored just three, easily the lowest in the top six, and they've scored more than 10 less than the entire top four. Also massive reliance on Carrick in midfield and a lack of depth in every area of the pitch except attacking midfield.

Title chances: 1/10, not even close to in the title race. 13 points worse off and looking far inferior to Chelsea, not to mention Liverpool, City and Arsenal. 
Top four chances: 4/10, United's top four chances could briefly improve as they have a nice run over the Christmas period, but ultimately they're not on the same level as the top four right now and have a lot of ground to make up.

Predicted final top six: 

1. Chelsea
2. Man City
3. Liverpool
4. Arsenal
5. United
6. Spurs

I can't wait to see how wrong I'm proven, given that in the summer I predicted City to win the title and Chelsea to not make the top four. But hey, I also predicted three of the current top four including us to do well, so...


The Hard and Fast Section

  • Cook captains ICC Team of the Year. Irony.
  • Kvitova facing six months out after being attacked. Shocking. 
  • Dylan Hartley "let team down" - Eddie Jones. Agreed. 
  • Bayern thrashed Leipzig to move clear in Bundesliga. Naturally. 

Wednesday, 21 December 2016

21st December

So it's nearly Christmas, and we have six days before the Premier League returns. Given that this is the longest stretch without English football we're going to get over this period, I thought that now would be a good time to write some articles about how the season is progressing. So I want to do a summary of the top six's chances, as well as the relegation battle and a look at how Liverpool's players are performing, but today, I wanted to do a team of the season so far.


Team of the Season (So Far)


Formation: 3-4-3 (or more accurately the 3-2-2-3 that Pep utilises)

I chose this formation partly because it allows me to pick all of the best players that I think have been in the league this season, but also partly because I don't think any full-backs have been phenomenal. In terms of attacking/defensive balance, picking three central defenders and two defensive midfielders allows me to add balance to the team whilst still front loading it with five very attacking players. 

Goalkeeper: Tom Heaton

There were a lot of really good candidates in this category this season, but for me Heaton is the standout in a Burnley team that really gave him far too much to do this season. He produced some truly excellent performances, such as the 0-0 draw at Old Trafford and even when Burnley were trounced, for example when they lost 3-1 to Southampton, he was often still arguably the best player on the pitch. 

Honourable mention: Hugo Lloris who has been absolutely incredible for Spurs. He'd probably win this category but his best saves have been in the Champions League so Heaton just about takes it. 

Central Defence: David Luiz

A lot of people, myself included, scoffed when Chelsea spent a lot of money getting David Luiz back, given that he's never been a world class central defender. But Luiz has been excellent at the heart of a Chelsea defence that has been the Premier League's best, and it would be remiss not to include him here. 

Honourable mention: Cesar Azpilicueta is not a natural CB but has slotted brilliantly into Chelsea's back three and has been absolutely integral to their defence this season. A whisker away from pipping Luiz. 

Central Defence: Virgil Van Dijk

Van Dijk has been terrific this season, and you'd be very hard pushed to find a better central defender in the Premier League overall, let alone this season. The fact that only Chelsea and Spurs have conceded less than Saints, despite their keeper being generally not that competent says it all about how good Van Dijk and his partner Fonte have been. 

Honourable mention: Jan Vertonghen has been without his regular partner Toby Alderweireld for much of the season but has done very well given the circumstances and Spurs' terrific defensive record lies as much on his shoulders as anyone's. But he's the beneficiary of a very defensive system and as an individual hasn't been quite as impressive as those on here. 

Central Defence: Laurent Koscielny

A possibly controversial choice but I'm a huge fan of Koscielny and Arsenal simply don't look the same team without him. The rock of an overall good defence, I've rarely seen Koscielny put a single foot wrong this season, and one of the few central defenders to effectively marshal Diego Costa. 

Honourable mention: Shkodran Mustafi has been a fantastic partner for Koscielny this season, and barring his injury, Arsenal might well be significantly closer to the top than they currently are. Nevertheless, Koscielny is the senior partner and the better performer. 

Right Wing: Sadio Mane

My first Liverpool pick and one that I'm willing to concede slight bias on, but Mane has been brilliant this season. Liverpool's top scorer with eight goals and four assists, and almost all of those goals crucial. He brings so much to the table in terms of dribbling, pace, creativity and clinical finishing and has been consistently brilliant this season. 

Honourable mention: Theo Walcott has scored as many goals as Hazard and Mane for Arsenal and has become an integral part of their season. But overall, his performance levels for the Gunners haven't quite been on a level to match the other two. 

Central Midfield: Jordan Henderson

This pick will be controversial but to me Henderson was one of the first names on the team-sheet. More passes than anyone, over 70% of those forward, more tackles than anyone except Gueye, more key passes than any defensive midfielder in the league. Henderson isn't even naturally a defensive midfielder but he's nevertheless been bossing that area of the pitch and has been Liverpool's most consistent player.

Honourable mention: Paul Pogba plays a very different style of central midfielder to Henderson, but it would be wrong not to mention him as he's been very very good for United, creative, dangerous and powerful. But for me the defensive side of his game needs work and there are too many world class CAMs for me to play him further forwards.

Central Midfield: Fernandinho

Okay this one I know I'm going to get flack for, but in terms of passing, energy, dynamism and control of a midfield, almost nobody gives more to the cause, and has the same level of impact as Fernandinho. He's been such a critical figure in City's team, and has had to do the work of two or three men at times. The way that City's midfield has often been balanced this season means that Fernandinho has had to counterbalance both Silva and KDB and they'd have imploded without him.

Honourable mention: N'golo Kante has been a big part of Chelsea's success this season but he's not been their most important player and has really benefited from a system where he's not having to do as much work as he did at Leicester, with Matic also excellent in a similar role. 

Left Wing: Eden Hazard

Probably the easiest pick I made. The only question was where to put him in the team. Hazard has worked well as one of the two behind Costa this season but his natural pace, devastating control and finishing mean that he works well out wide too, where he's been at his best at times for Chelsea both this season and in the past. Maybe the player of the season so far. 

Honourable mention: Nobody was even close to Hazard in this position but Raheem Sterling has had an excellent season so far at City and really contributed for the team, which is good to see and with five goals and three assists he's providing some end product. 

Attacking Midfield: Alexis Sanchez

Another very easy pick and another contender for player of the season so far. He's played up front but he's equally comfortable playing anywhere near or across the front and simply put he's been single-handedly forcing Arsenal forwards, with a staggering 12 goals and 6 assists in 16 starts. Sensational. 

Honourable mention: Kevin De Bruyne has been hit and miss for City this season at times, but when he's been hot, he's been really hot, with over three key passes per game providing a return of 9 assists, a league high. But only two goals. 

Attacking Midfield: Phillipe Coutinho

I couldn't not pick Phil, he's been mind-bogglingly good. Liverpool's best player by a mile, as he turned in a man of the match performance six games in a row before the international break. Five goals and five assists in effectively eleven games is a brilliant return but his overall game play has been superb and Liverpool have not looked the same without him, whatever the stats will tell you. 

Honourable mention: Adam Lallana has six goals and six assists for Liverpool this season and has been integral to the way that we play when he plays, but nevertheless I don't think he brings quite as much to the table as Coutinho does. He's turned in one man of the match performance this season, which for me shows that although he's been great, he can't quite change a game like Phil can. 

Striker: Diego Costa

Was it ever going to be anyone else? The Premier League's top scorer has been at his belligerent best this season, bullying defenders, scoring goals for fun and rarely needing many chances to do so. Costa has been almost the perfect striker this season and he's been so crucial to Chelsea's title challenge that it's almost unthinkable that he picks up a serious injury. 

Honourable mention: Sergio Aguero has ten goals in eleven games this season which is the best record in the league. He's still the league's best striker and has been when he's played, but two stupid red cards, one of them retrospective, have prevented him reaching his potential this season so far.

Manager: Antonio Conte

Obviously. Took the core of a really good team and fashioned it back into serious title favourites. Found a system that got the most out of all of his players, played to Chelsea's strengths and covered all of their weaknesses, and was able to implement it swiftly and efficiently.

Honourable mention: Jurgen Klopp has put very very few feet wrong so far for me this season. From converting Henderson to a DM, to putting Milner at left back, and utilising a hyper-aggressive 4-3-3 formation that looked too attacking and midfield based to work, Klopp has been a revelation at Liverpool this season. 


So that's my team. Obviously some of these picks will be more controversial than others but obviously this is just my opinion so others out there will obviously disagree. Tomorrow: the title race.

The Hard and Fast Section

  • England's humiliation complete. 4-0. Total shambles. 
  • Vardy's ban appeal fails. Good. 
  • Northampton Saints avoid double sanction. 
  • Massa to return to Williams. Bottas to Mercedes. 

Sunday, 18 December 2016

18th December

So a little piece about Leicester v Stoke and respecting referees (for my thoughts on Chelsea v Palace, just read my review of their 1-0 win over West Brom last weekend or 1-0 against Sunderland in midweek because this is their 4th 1-0 win in six games and it's getting annoyingly repetitive).

Stoke 2-2 Leicester

At half time in this game, when Stoke were 2-0, Leicester were down to 10 men with Jamie Vardy sent off, had no less than five players booked in less than ten minutes, and had conceded a penalty that had put Stoke 1-0 up, Leicester fans were angry. Their manager and players swarmed the referee and their fans hurled coins down on the referee, acts which will surely see the club hit with a two-pronged fine. 

Personally, I thought it was disgusting behaviour. Pawson had had to hand out three yellow cards for dissent, as well as two for cynical fouls. He was getting salvos on all fronts, the players disrespecting him, the manager, one of the most mild-mannered managers in the league I might add, having to be restrained and Leicester's fans more than crossing the line with their coin throwing antics. 

And yet, when you look on social media, even amongst some esteemed pundits, Leicester were being treated as the victims, not as the aggressors. As if somehow the referee's grievous errors somehow justified this almost unprecedented torrent of abuse from all corners, rather than the simple truth, which is that Leicester's players completely lost their heads, their discipline and were extremely fortunate to finish the game with ten men. As far as I'm concerned they thoroughly deserve whatever fines are slapped their way because they completely and utterly failed to control either their players or their fans. 

And the thing that baffles me the most about this is that even if the referee had made an error (coming to the decisions themselves I promise), the overreaction was staggering. This was "an absolute joke of a performance" by the referee, "the worst referee in the Premier League", "he should get fined, not us". So many places to start. Well for starters, regardless of if the referee gets punished, Leicester earned those fines fair and square. Players acting disrespectfully towards the referee is one of the few areas where I acknowledge football could learn from rugby and Leicester learned that lesson the hard way. 

So onto the two-fold main point. If Pawson had made two or three errors so egregious that he had severely blundered, that both the penalty and the red card were so blatantly wrong, would he have earned the staggering amount of abuse he received? Well yes and no. Comments like: "joke of a performance" would have more merit, and Leicester's right to be angry would be increased. It wouldn't justify Leicester's actions on or off the pitch, but it would help add some context to the victim idea that Leicester are very good at playing into. 

But this isn't just Pawson. This is a general attitude towards referees that has been building and it's totally inconsistent, wildly over-reactive and inherently abusive. Earlier the same time, John Moss was labelled similarly: "the worst ref in the Premier League", "absolute joke of a performance". Moss' huge crime was failing to book N'golo Kante for a cynical pull back to stop a counter attack early in the game. It was a stonewall booking yes, but Moss clearly wanted to give the player the benefit of the doubt early on in the game. It was a mistake but hardly a disgrace. 

Another bizarre point labelled against Pawson was that he failed in midweek to send off Rojo for a two-footed tackle and give Man United a blatant penalty for handball, yet this weekend he did both. How inconsistent of him. A referee cannot win, can he? Yes, Pawson had a stinker in midweek, and he will be aware of that, but you can't have it both ways. You can't absolutely slam a referee in midweek for making bad decisions and then when he realises he made a mistake and doesn't repeat that error on the weekend slam him for inconsistency. It's childish. 

And that's what this all stems from. A childish bias and frustration that your team didn't get the decision your way, and what's embarrassing is how far up the pecking order it's gone, right the way up to the very top of punditry. And it's all inflamed because it's Leicester City, the club who can do no wrong. Now don't get me wrong, I absolutely love Leicester. I think their title win was incredible, and frankly, this whole refereeing issue is not a dig specifically at them, but at the increasing culture in the wider football world of insulting every single referee, week in, week out, for every single bad decision no matter how small and frankly, with no heed to whether or not it's actually a bad decision. 

So finally, the decisions themselves. In my opinion, Pawson got everything spot on. The red card was a red card. Yes, it was a borderline decision, and it can be argued that it was a harsh call, but when you lunge into a tackle with two feet off the ground you are not in control of your body. Vardy's tackle ended up getting the ball and ended up not being overly dangerous, but it was certainly reckless and he could just as easily have snapped Diouf's ankle in two if the Stoke winger had been a little bit quicker or Vardy had slightly misjudged the tackle. 

And the penalty was again, a borderline decision, but still a penalty. To suggest that Danny Simpson's hand was in a natural position is more of a reach than how high Simpson was reaching to stop the ball from going into the box. In the current climate, it was a handball, his arm was over his head, miles away from his body and the ball struck it. I've seen them given, I've seen them not given, and I don't think it's one of those where you can argue either way. 

My underlying point is this. These were both marginal decisions and both cases were entirely Leicester's own fault. If you jump into a tackle with two feet, whatever happens after, you have absolutely zero right to complain when you're sent off, even when the sending off itself could be considered harsh. Because it was a stupid, reckless tackle, that on another day might have been dangerous. And you also cannot complain if your arm is way above your head and the ball strikes it and the referee decides it's a penalty. Your arm shouldn't be there. It's entirely your own fault.

And yet Pawson has been maligned, criticized, physically and verbally abused for these two at worst borderline wrong decisions, and Leicester fans are still able to paint themselves as the victims in this case. As if having seven of their eleven outfield players pick up a card is somehow the referee's fault, and not their players. As if their being fined for fans hurling coins at the ref is a disgrace because they were robbed by the ref. 

What came next is what should be the story. A remarkable comeback as Leicester seized control of the game, Stoke weren't able to win the midfield battle or lower the tempo. Kasper Schmeichel kept his team in the game, as Stoke failed to kill it off, Ranieri got his subs spot on and Leicester snatched an unlikely and probably on balance undeserved draw. But instead, I'm so angry with the whole scenario: the increasing lack of respect for referees, the overreacting on social media, the whole sorry state of affairs as Leicester's players and fans reacted very very poorly, and how the whole thing has been twisted as if the referee deserved what he got. 

So instead of celebrating what was a remarkable second half of brilliant football, I'm sat here complaining about Leicester's conduct. And that's a crying shame. 

The Hard and Fast Section

  • United saw off West Brom. Closing on UCL. 
  • Boro, West Ham and Sunderland picked up huge wins. 
  • Saints lost 60-13 and face an investigation. Brutal. 
  • India 372-4. England in trouble again. 
  • SPOTY tonight. Murray will win, 

Friday, 16 December 2016

16th December

Premier League preview time! No sooner does it end but it returns.

Crystal Palace v Chelsea (12:30pm Saturday)

League leaders Chelsea have a chance to stretch their lead at the top of the Premier League to nine points before their rivals play, and with Liverpool and Arsenal facing extremely tough games this weekend, there will be no lack of motivation for the Blues to win this game. And win it you have to suggest that they will. I'm curious to see how Palace go in this game to be honest. Chelsea have the best defence in the league but Palace have goals to spare in their team. Nevertheless, you have to say that if Hazard plays, Chelsea will score enough goals to win easily and even without him they should have enough firepower to breach a pretty poor Palace defence.

Prediction: 2-1 Chelsea


Middlesbrough v Swansea (3pm)

This should be an interesting one. Boro have a solid defensive record but the worst attack in the league. Swansea cannot defend at all but are decent coming forwards. Both teams really need the points, but Boro only managed one goal against even Hull. I think this one could go either way but for me Boro's lack of goals will come back to haunt them as I can't see them keeping a clean sheet. 

Prediction: 1-1

Stoke City v Leicester City (3pm)

If Leicester are away from home, I'm predicting them to lose. Sooner or later the Foxes will win a game away from home, but until then I'm just going to hedge my bets and play it safe. And to be honest, taking these teams on their own merits I fancy Stoke, who are playing quite well at the moment, especially defensively and have lost just two of their last ten. Leicester have just one win in their last seven games, and have lost their last three games away: to Watford, Sunderland and Bournemouth. 

Prediction: 2-0 Stoke 

Sunderland v Watford (3pm)

This game looking like a must-win for Sunderland, as they face a tough Christmas period.  Watford have been decidedly average lately, and Sunderland have been in okay form at home, but at the same time, if Watford play anywhere their best, they should walk all over Sunderland. But Watford haven't won away from home in two months, so I'm going to give the benefit of the doubt to the home side. 

Prediction: 1-0 Sunderland


West Ham v Hull (3pm)

Another huge game at the bottom of the table, with Hull staring down the barrel of a horrible 2017. And it's hard to see the Tigers getting anything from this one, given how utterly dreadful their away form is, having lost five in a row away from the KCOM. That said, West Ham have been pretty miserable themselves in recent weeks, admittedly against a really tough run of opposition. Even so, the Hammers have more quality on paper and surely should nick this one. 

Prediction: 1-0 West Ham 

West Brom v Man United (5:30pm)

This is a really tough trip for Man United. West Brom have picked up thirteen points from their last six games, the second best form in the Premier League, and haven't lost a game to a side outside the top four in over three months, with Chelsea beating them last weekend and Man City and Liverpool winning against them near the end of October. United haven't indicated recently that they'll have enough firepower to score more than once and you've got to back West Brom to score, especially at home where they've been excellent this season, scoring ten goals in their last three games at home. I'm going to go with a draw, but I could see West Brom nicking this one. 

Prediction: 1-1


Bournemouth v Southampton (1:30pm Sunday)

This is a tough one to call. Both of these teams have been wildly inconsistent this season, turning in great performances one week and poor ones another. At the moment with Southampton I'm always tempted to say either 1-0 or 0-0, and whilst that is rarely the case with Bournemouth this season, I'm think I'm going to opt for the former, and back the Cherries to win this one. 

Prediction: 1-0 Bournemouth


Man City v Arsenal (4pm)

The big one. This is such an important game in both of these teams' seasons. The loser could be out of the title race, Spurs are sniffing around waiting to jump into the top four, and both of these teams have quality bursting at the seams. This could be a really intense, tight game of football, and I honestly don't know which side I favour. So I'm going to fence-sit, partly because I think this game is impossible to predict, but partly because I think these sides are evenly matched and these sorts of games tend to end in a draw. 

Prediction: 2-2

Spurs v Burnley (4pm)

I'm not even going to try and pretend that this is anything other than a home banker. Burnley have only picked up one point away from home and have picked up some real spankings away from Turf Moor. Spurs have been in mixed form in recent weeks but won very easily against both Swansea and Hull at White Hart Lane, where they're unbeaten this season and have dropped just four points along the way. This could be ugly. 

Prediction: 4-0 Spurs


Everton v Liverpool (8pm Monday)

Who doesn't love a Merseyside Derby? This has come at a very interesting point in the season for both of these clubs, who both returned to form in midweek, Everton turning over Arsenal as Liverpool smashed Boro. Everton still haven't lost at home this season, but in general they've not played particularly well at Goodison for a few weeks. If Liverpool can turn on the style that they were able to against Boro then they should win, but this a really tough one and a close call. 

Prediction: 2-1 Liverpool


The Hard and Fast Section

  • Moeen century. England 284-4. Fighting. 
  • Bottas set for Mercedes move. Exciting. 
  • Suarez has a £167.5m buyout clause. Sign him up Klopp.
  • Judo funding cut. Disappointment. 

Thursday, 15 December 2016

15th December

So this ended up being a really bad night for Arsenal, as all of their rivals picked up an easy three points. Plus a great win for West Ham and Swansea look dead and buried.

Sunderland 0-1 Chelsea

Starting with the league leaders, who moved six points clear at the top of the Premier League after Arsenal's defeat opened the door. But without star player Eden Hazard this was a result that Chelsea were forced to work for. Without Hazard, Willian came into the side, as well as Fabregas for Matic, and both proved their worth to this team, as it was Fabregas who scored, and Willian who assisted him. But more than that, both players turned in all-round good performances, with Willian coming close on a couple of other occasions, including a shot that was deflected onto the bar. 

But more than the goals that they've scored, what will boost Chelsea is the 8th clean sheet in their run of 10 straight wins. This is their third 1-0 win in five games against lower opposition, showing that at the moment they're grinding out results. Liverpool's opposition might be calling them the best team in the league, but Chelsea are six points clear of them for a reason. 

That said, there were plenty of signs in this game that sooner or later Chelsea will slip up, as Thibaut Courtois was forced into two outstanding saves, including one in the last minute to keep out Van Aanholt. Whilst it's obviously hyperbolic to describe it as a title-winning save, it is nevertheless the kind of save that wins teams titles. A world class goalkeeper can be the difference between three points and one point, or one point and no points, and with Liverpool's goalkeepers in the spotlight for all the wrong reasons, it wouldn't be unfair to suggest that right now, the biggest difference between the two top title contenders at the moment is the standard of keeping. 

I've been saying for weeks that this Chelsea side have not played as well as their results have suggested. But I've also been saying that that's completely irrelevant if they keep playing well enough to win their games, and beat what's put in front of them. If you play well enough to beat Sunderland 1-0 one week, and well enough to beat City 3-1 in another, then as long as your performance is good enough to beat your on the day opposition then that's all that matters. 

That said, Chelsea cannot afford to get over-confident. Their bubble will burst at some point, and there will be teams snapping at their heels when they do. Nevertheless, their next three games are extremely winnable, and Chelsea will fancy their chances of not just holding their six point lead, but extending it going into their game at White Hart Lane in the New Year, as Liverpool and Arsenal both have to face Man City before the year is out. 

On the other hand, Sunderland. With the exception of their drubbing at Swansea, Sunderland have been much better in recent weeks and would probably have taken 0-1 at the start of play, with how impressive Chelsea have been in the last few months. But nevertheless, they have a really tough run of fixtures coming up, and could do with three points against Watford at the weekend to keep themselves afloat. They're now four points from safety, effectively five points considering their goal difference. They're in trouble. 

Tottenham 3-0 Hull

What a player Christian Eriksen is when he's at his best. He's been massively below par for most of this season, but in recent weeks has started to find his form, orchestrating the demolitions of Hull and Swansea. And whilst Spurs fans will probably be asking why their team can't play this well against the likes of Man United or Chelsea (spoiler alert: Spurs aren't as good as they think they are), they'd still nevertheless have taken a collective 8-0 win over two of the league's bottom three.

And Eriksen was the destroyer in chief here again, with two goals and an assist from an expertly-taken free kick to put Hull to the sword. Spurs' full-backs were looking somewhere close to their fluent attacking best in this game, as first Rose and then Walker set up Eriksen for his two goals, with some great running and crossing. If the first goal was a decent finish from Eriksen then his second was a tap in, but in both cases he had his full-back to thank. And the third goal, a magnificent free kick tipped onto the woodwork before Wanyama smashed in the rebound, just put the gloss on Spurs' and Eriksen's perfomance. 

Spurs face a really tough run of games after they play Burnley at home at the weekend. Trips to Southampton and Watford followed by a home game to Chelsea which looks a must-win if Spurs still harbour anything close to title hopes, and they still have to go to the Etihad before January is out, as well as facing a West Brom side in very good form that is also Spurs' bogey side. With all of that in mind, such a comprehensive win against a side that they should be beating will be very welcome. 

But Hull can take some heart from this game, as Spurs didn't have it all their own way. Hull had quite a few good chances at 1-0 to get back into the game, with Hugo Lloris being forced into some top saves. Nevertheless, Hull are in trouble. The worst defensive record in the league, and scoring just 14 goals, one more than Boro, is pretty pitiful. Their game at the weekend against West Ham is suddenly looking like a must-win, with West Brom, Everton and City all to come. Hull could be in dire straits by New Year's Day. 


Crystal Palace 1-2 Man United

And breathe. A frenetic, fabulous game of football saw Man United secure back to back Premier League games for the first time since August, with a late goal from Zlatan Ibrahimovic. Really, this is a game that's difficult to judge, because the overriding factor in this fixture was the level of absolutely appalling officiating, and it's almost impossible to say whether it levels out or not. 

Neither manager will be particularly happy, but you have to say that on balance, Alan Pardew probably is the most hard done by. United should have been down to ten men before half time, with Marcus Rojo going in for another disgusting two-footed lunge, his second in ten days. Even if publicly Mourinho shrugged it off, comparing it to Danny Rose's bad, but not horrific tackle on Mkhitaryan, privately he'll be fuming that his player did something so stupid less than two weeks after luckily escaping a red card for doing the exact same thing. What's more, when United did take the lead, right on half time, it should have been chalked off, as Paul Pogba was stood in an offside position when Ibrahimovic handed the ball to him, quite literally. 

But United will argue that things leveled themselves up after the break. And certainly in terms of the goals tally that was true, as they had a goal wrongfully chalked off for offisde, and should have had a penalty when Joe Ledley literally punched the ball clear. Both of these came after an excellently worked equaliser from Palace, with James McArthur slotting home. 

But ultimately, United deserved to win the game on balance. Hennessey had to make some top saves, particularly to deny Wayne Rooney, Pogba was running the show, and Palace's only outlet was Wilf Zaha, whose final ball let the side down on a few occasions. This is the first time United have scored two goals in a league game since their win at Swansea, and only the second time since they beat Leicester 4-1, but back to back wins and goals on the board will give Jose Mourinho a huge sigh of relief. 

Despite their torrid start to the season, United could well find themselves ending the year inside the top four. Spurs and City as mentioned have horrible sets of fixtures and in their next three/four games, United have a very nice run. A trip to the Hawthorns isn't particularly fun but winnable, and then two banker home wins against Sunderland and Boro to round off 2016. Nine points from those games, and suddenly City and Spurs are under pressure. 

As for Palace, they remain three points clear of the drop zone and face a nasty home game against Chelsea at the weekend. But from their perspective, it's just about winning their home games against the sides in and around them, and they should have more than enough to be fine. Swansea at home on 3rd January is one such big game. 

Man City 2-0 Watford

City returned to winning ways with a much needed 2-0 win over Watford. This was City back to somewhere near their best with wonderful passing, fluid movement and two excellent goals. Whilst this wasn't quite a vintage performance, and like Hull Watford missed a handful of decent chances at 1-0, to score twice without a recognised striker and keep a clean sheet is a solid day's work. 

The first goal was a goal scored by sheer weight of numbers. Kevin De Bruyne was freed down the left and put in a good cross, but the key to this move was that City had five players causing problems inside the box. Usually when a player gets free inside the box it's because of bad defending but there were simply too many men for Watford to get organised quickly enough, allowing Zabaleta to sneak in at the back post and finish the move. 

And the second goal was a classic City clinical counter-attack with the once again terrific David Silva and the restored Raheem Sterling combining for the former to smash home the goal that killed the game. Watford, missing Okaka through injury, missed a couple of guilt-edged chances at 1-0, with Igahlo volleying over and Capoue's shot from a tight angle kept out by Bravo, but City fans will make the reasonable point that they made more than enough chances to kill the game off before that point anyway, with Gomes denying the likes of Nolito and De Bruyne, and Raheem Sterling's shot rattling the bar. 

Overall, a welcome return to form for City, needing all the points that they can muster at the moment as they attempt to keep the pace with Chelsea, and also prevent Spurs or United sneaking up behind them, especially with Liverpool and Arsenal in their next three games. As for Watford, as I said in my preview, this sort of game is one where they just have to take what they can get, and move on to the next one. 

West Brom 3-1 Swansea

Minor rant incoming. Swansea are bad. We knew this. Their defence is not so much relegation worthy as it is an absolute embarrassment, a back four that would struggle to keep a clean sheet in the Championship. They aren't amongst the league's worse in terms of attacking, streets above the likes of Hull and Boro, but defensively they are a shambles. 

But even so. Even so. Come on. I mean, really. You can just about excuse the first goal. West Brom are very good off set pieces, it was an excellent ball in and Rondon made a good movement. We know that Swansea's set piece organisation is a bit all over the place. These things happen. Stunning header from Rondon, 1-0. 

So from that moment on, aware of how good Rondon is in the air, and that West Brom are capable of good crosses, you would think that the prerogative would be to 1) stop the crosses coming in and 2) mark Rondon closely. 

Or, you can do what Swansea did, which is neither of those things. Take absolutely nothing away from West Brom. But the second and third goals were so painfully simple. Excellent cross from Brunt on the left, completely unchallenged. Pick out Rondon, who only has to make a simple, sharp movement to earn himself all the time and space in the world to pick the header. Twice. In three minutes. Ten minutes after conceding a header to Rondon, Swansea allowed him two free headers inside the box in three minutes, having done nothing to stop the cross. 

How were they expecting to defend this? If you don't stop the cross, and if you don't mark the main man in the box, West Brom's only real aerial threat, then what are you doing? I can accept that Swansea haven't replaced Ashley Williams but for goodness sake. This was an absolute shambles. 

Swansea need to sort their defence out, or they can forget about a relegation dogfight, they'll be heading straight to the Championship if this continues. As for West Brom, this was a great result, that sees them move 7th again, back ahead of Everton. They'll fancy their chances against United at the weekend. 


West Ham 1-0 Burnley

Burnley's wretched away form continued as West Ham picked up a vital win at the Olympic Stadium. On a midweek where seven of the bottom eight lost, West Ham picked up a massive three points courtesy of Mark Noble's rebound off his own penalty. 

West Ham dominated the first half, Noble and Obiang hitting the woodwork before Noble's penalty was saved by Heaton, with the ball fortunately spilling back to Noble who smashed in the rebound. Wonderful ranged efforts from Noble and Obiang had crashed into the woodwork before Ben Mee clattered Winston Reid from behind off a corner for a stonewall pen. 

After the break Burnley knocked on the door, with Vokes missing two really big chances and Randolph forced into some top saves. But overall, West Ham shaded the chances, and just about deserved what could be a really crucial three points in May. 

Stoke 0-0 Southampton

And finally. Stoke will be very happy with a point in this game, given that Saints were totally dominant from start to finish, even before Marko Arnautovic was sent off for a late and high tackle. For me it wasn't quite as bad as it looked, and Boufal certainly made the most of it, but I also don't think Stoke can have too many complaints, it probably was on balance a red card, even if I would consider it a borderline decision. 

But Southampton's problems in front of goal plagued them again, as they were unable to break down a resolute Stoke side, with Eric Pieters forced to clear off the line as it was an all hands to the pump defensive effort from the Potters. Boufal missed a really really golden chance by opting to pass rather than shoot, and Lee Grant was forced into some decent saves, but the Southampton waves of attack never turned into a tangible reward. 


The Hard and Fast Section

  • Lallana and Origi. Class acts. 
  • Jimmy to miss the 5th test. Shame. 
  • Ballance named Yorkshire's captain. Leader. 
  • Hartley back for the Six Nations. Fortunate. 

Wednesday, 14 December 2016

14th December

So, Everton remembered how to play football...


Everton 2-1 Arsenal

Arsenal suffered their first defeat since the opening day of the season at the hands of a resurgent Everton side, giving Chelsea the opportunity to go six points clear at the top of the Premier League tonight against Sunderland. 

It would not be unfair to say that this was a very bad day at the office for Arsenal, who were lethargic, listless and made far too many errors. Whilst they dominated the ball and created some decent chances, they were nowhere near playing their best football, with Ozil and Walcott singled out for criticism by Arsenal fans. In truth, their entire front four was pretty abject, with their goal coming from a Sanchez free kick that took a hugely unfortunate deflection off Ashley Williams on its way through to wrong-foot Stekelenburg. 

And they deserved to be in front. Everton were awful in the opening twenty minutes, turning in a display with no energy, no fight and no desire. The crowd were vocal in their displeasure, but after Arsenal scored the Toffees seemed to wake up. There was more bite in the challenges, more energy in midfield and more tenacity. 

Despite Arsenal having 60% of the ball overall, Everton pressed hard and probably just about deserved to equalise before half time, which they did through a Seamus Coleman header, after an excellent cross from Baines on the left. From Arsenal's perspective though, it was pretty poor defending, as Walcott did nothing to prevent the cross, as Monreal completely lost track of Coleman as he charged into the box. 

And poor marking was at fault for the second goal as well, as Williams thundered in a header off a corner. It was a terrific header, but he was totally unmarked, with Ozil, who sadly was the worst player on the pitch, failing abysmally to do anything close to challenging him. 

Williams' late winner summed up a pretty terrible second half from Arsenal, in which they completely dominated possession and yet failed to create much in the way of clear chances, with Ozil blazing their best effort over the bar after a good low cross from Sanchez. 

Arsenal did turn the screw after Everton scored, but it was to no avail, with Petr Cech of all people throwing himself at a cross, only for Stekelenburg to somehow claw it away, only for Monreal and Iwobi to be denied on the line in the aftermath, as Arsenal screamed for a penalty on Sanchez which in truth probably should have been given. With Cech scrambling to get back, Everton should have killed the match, as the final frantic seconds ticked by. It turned out that they didn't need to, but it was a hectic final five minutes or so that weren't justified by the lethargic nature of the previous 85. 

It would be harsh to call this an Arsenal bottle job, but certainly they were off the pace. They took their foot off the accelerator as soon as they scored, and let Everton back into the game far too easily. And to give one of Everton's best headers of the ball a free header off a set piece with the game deadlocked and five minutes to go is simply inexcusable. Everton on the other hand, seemed very much up for the task, and what they lacked in quality, they made up for in tenacity. Although their front four were unable to make a lasting impact on the game, as Arsenal defended well for long spells, Laurent Koscielny turning in yet another fantastic display, Everton nevertheless deserved to win the match as they created more on the night. 

For Arsenal this is a wake up call. Many people expected them to roll over Everton and move on to roll over Man City at the weekend. And justifiably so given the goals that they've been scoring recently. But they cruised in this game and cruised to a defeat. They're going to need all of their skills to knock City well and truly out of the title race on Sunday, as they try to rescue what remains of their own bid. 

And for Everton, this was a much needed pick me up as they surged back into contention for the Europa spots. They're now back up into 7th, ahead of Watford who play Man City tonight, and are just one point behind a United side that face a tough trip to Crystal Palace. Whilst the top four or five may still be out of reach, Everton have some good form to take into the hotly anticipated Merseyside derby on Monday. 


The Hard and Fast Section

  • Gary Rowett sacked. A decision that disgraces football. 
  • Leicester lost 1-0 at Bournemouth. Abysmal away form.
  • England and Australia rugby go again in 2017. Rivalry.
  • Khan vs Brook 2017. Awesome. 
  • Chennai test in real doubt now. Weather. 

Tuesday, 13 December 2016

13th December

Sorry for not posting a review of Sunday's games yesterday but there wasn't much interesting to say about Chelsea's 1-0 win and Spurs were just awful so... And I also wanted to talk about the cricket but given that I've slept through basically the entire test series it felt imprudent. Anyway, right back on the Premier League Predictions, given that we've got a set of midweek fixtures to look forward to.

Bournemouth v Leicester (7:45pm)

Leicester retain the dubious honour of being the worst team in the league away from home, with just one point from seven games away from the King Power. So despite their excellent win against Manchester City, the Foxes will very much be the underdogs for this game against a Bournemouth side that have pretty good home form, losing just two games at the Vitality Stadium and recently turning over Liverpool on the South Coast. If you look at the course of the season as a whole, and take Leicester's away form out of the picture, there's still a case to be made that Bournemouth edge it, but you can't ignore how poor Leicester have been away from home, despite African Footballer of the Year and 7th place Ballon D'or nominee Riyad Mahrez and 8th place Jamie Vardy returning to form in a big way against Manchester City. 

Prediction: 2-0 Bournemouth 

Everton v Arsenal (7:45pm)

Everton are one of just three teams unbeaten at home this season, Arsenal are the only team unbeaten away from home, you would think that something would have to give. Whilst on paper 1-1 might not be a bad prediction, the truth is that Everton are in wretched form, now winning just one of their last ten games, and they simply look no match for the Gunners. I think a draw is very possible if the Gunners aren't quite at their best, but it would be doing Arsenal a disservice right now to suggest that they won't walk over Everton if they play well. 

Prediction: 3-1 Arsenal 

Middlesbrough v Liverpool (7:45pm Wednesday)

Liverpool have hit a sticky patch without Phillipe Coutinho, throwing away a 3-1 lead at Bournemouth and then faltering at home to West Ham. But whilst Boro have been pretty solid in recent weeks, picking up good results against City and Arsenal, this is still a game that Liverpool will fancy themselves to win. Boro offer an excellent chance to keep a clean sheet, and whilst the hosts don't let in a lot of goals, Liverpool will feel that they'll be able to get at least one on the night. 

Prediction: 1-0 Liverpool 

Sunderland v Chelsea (7:45pm)

Does this one really need justifying? The team top of the league takes on the team at the bottom of it. Sunderland don't even have the advantage of being at home, since they have the worst home form in the division, and are fresh off the back of a 3-0 spanking to Swansea. It's really hard to make any sort of argument against Chelsea winning this game, except that it's the Premier League, and Chelsea have to make a mistake at some point. Just...probably not in this round of fixtures. 

Prediction: 3-0 Chelsea

West Ham v Burnley (7:45pm)

West Ham are only out of the relegation zone by the skin of their teeth. Fortunately, they have a home game against a team almost as bad away from home as Leicester, with Burnley scoring just one goal and picking up just one point from six games away from Turf Moor. West Ham's last home win came against Sunderland almost two months ago, but if they can score an early goal in this one, then Burnley might melt and we could see a return to form for the Hammers. On the other hand, West Ham's defence is very prone to implosion, so Burnley might see this as their chance to finally register a win on the road, and at the very least I think they'll add another goal to their tally.

Prediction; 3-1 West Ham 

Crystal Palace v Man United (8pm)

What's this? A game where Man United might score than one goal for only the second time since 24th September? Surely you'd think United will run riot to some extent, so poor is Palace's defence. But without Henrik Mkhitaryan, who has been the catalyst for most of United's better performances in recent weeks, United may not have the same level of incision. It's also worth noting that Palace have scored significantly more goals than United this season. Nevertheless, Palace are one of only three teams with a better away record than a home one, and United also have a superlative away record. You'd have to say United will win, but Palace should make a game of it. 

Prediction: 2-1 United 


Man City v Watford (8pm)

This one for me is really interesting. City's home form is decidedly average, with Boro, Southampton and Everton all picking up draws at the Etihad Stadium this season. But Watford's last two away games were a 6-1 butchering at Anfield and a 3-1 defeat at the Hawthorns. Nevertheless, Watford are playing well and look in good form, whilst City have lost back to back league games, so it's hard to gauge. But, truthfully, I think the fact of the matter is that if City get going, they're good enough to sweep aside Watford, who haven't picked up any remarkable results this season.

Prediction: 2-1 Man City

Stoke v Southampton (8pm)

The two teams slap bang in the middle of the table. Neither is in particularly brilliant form, but neither is in terrible form either, with both securing seven points from their last five games. Stoke have shored up their defence massively in the last couple of months, with just three goals conceded in the seven games prior to their defeat to Arsenal at the weekend. And Southampton have three clean sheets in their last four games. Neither team is particularly high scoring either, with the Saints the second lowest scorers in the league and Stoke only scoring three more. So I think I might go for a 0-0 here, but I'd fancy Stoke to be the ones to nick the winner. 

Prediction: 0-0

Spurs v Hull (8pm)

If Chelsea v Sunderland is the most straightforward prediction of this gameweek then this one is not far behind either. Only Liverpool and Leicester City have picked up anything at White Hart Lane, where Spurs are unbeaten this season. Hull have won just one of their last ten games and are looking increasingly like relegation fodder. After their 5-0 win over Swansea, I could easily predict Spurs doing something similar in this game. Anything less than a big Spurs win would be surprising. 

Prediction: 4-0 Spurs

West Brom v Swansea (8pm)

Nobody outside the top four has beaten West Brom in over three months. Only Everton and Manchester City have beaten them at the Hawthorns this season. Prior to their narrow defeat against Chelsea, they had ten points from four games. Swansea, meanwhile, haven't won away from home since the opening day of the season. So I think it would be a bit odd to predict an away win in this one. The Swans have improved but only against teams with dismal defensive records, and West Brom are no slouches at the back. Hard to predict anything other than a West Brom win given their recent form. 

Prediction: 2-0 West Brom

The Hard and Fast Section

  • England humilated. 3-0. Series over. 
  • Ronaldo wins Ballon D'or after a brilliant year. 
  • Hartley might miss Six Nations after red card. Captain material. 
  • Karius needs to step his game up. Quickly.